He points out that global bond markets are “very well aware of the trajectory of U.S. debt,” and yet the fact that “the U.S.

High debt levels and potential fiscal dominance could lead to lower interest rates, benefiting assets like BTC and gold.

In Then and Now: A Look Back and Ahead at the Federal Budget (NBER Working Paper 34455), Alan J. Auerbach and William Gale develop fiscal projections that incorporate the recently enacted One Big ...

The modern equivalent isn’t literal coin shaving. But as 2026 starts with the U.S. staring down a 120% debt-to-GDP ratio, top ...

The resolution expresses the sense of the House of Representatives that the United States should reduce and maintain the federal unified budget deficit at or below 3% of GDP while acknowledging that ...

America’s national debt crossed $38.5 trillion in January 2026, exceeding levels once expected closer to 2030, as rising ...

Under the CRFB August Adjusted Baseline, debt will reach 120% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and deficits will rise to $2.6 ...

The net federal debt is about 100% of annual GDP. A high debt-to-GDP ratio raises interest rates. It makes the United States hostage to the emotions of international investors. The Congressional ...

The net interest on the U.S. Federal Debt is roughly 3 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), amounting to $882 billion. What does this percentage and the absolute number mean? If they were to ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Michael writes on high income assets that help people retire early. An old friend had messaged me, and that line caught my ...

The U.S. national debt surpassed another historic milestone as it topped $38 trillion for the first time this week, as the federal government continues to rack up debt at a record-setting pace. New ...

The national debt looks out of control. But a new reality is setting in that may change the calculus and ensure broad ...